ESTIMATING FUTURE TRENDS OF HIV PREVALENCE AMONG INDIVIDUALS AGED 15-49 YEARS IN COSTA RICA USING HOLT’S DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING MODEL

Authors

  • Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI ZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe
  • Thabani NYONI Independent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Keywords:

Exponential smoothing, Forecasting

References

World Health Organization. (2020). Health

policy and system support to optimize

community health worker programmes for

HIV, TB and malaria services: an evidence

guide

Local Burden of Disease HIV Collaborators.

Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin

American countries with incomplete vital

registration systems. BMC Med. 2021; 19(1):4.

Published 2021 Jan 8. doi:10.1186/s12916-

-01876-4[3] Renjith, V. (2022). Mapping subnational HIV

mortality in six Latin American countries with

incomplete vital registration systems.

Baird, M. (2023). (In) Equity and Primary

Health Care: The Case of Costa Rica and

Panama. International Journal of Social

Determinants of Health and Health Services,

(2), 122-129.

Baker, R., & Gallicchio, V. S. (2020). How

United States healthcare can learn from Costa

Rica: A literature review. Journal of Public

Health and Epidemiology, 12(2), 106-113.

García, P. J., Bayer, A., & Cárcamo, C. P.

(2014). The changing face of HIV in Latin

America and the Caribbean. Current Hiv/Aids

Reports, 11, 146-157.

Noy, S. (2021). Looking out, working in: How

policymakers and experts conceptualize health

system models in Argentina, Costa Rica, and

Peru. World Development, 139, 105300.

Pesec, M., Ratcliffe, H. L., Karlage, A.,

Hirschhorn, L. R., Gawande, A., & Bitton, A.

(2017). Primary health care that works: the

Costa Rican experience. Health Affairs, 36(3),

-538.

Pesec, M., Spigel, L., Granados, J. M. M.,

Bitton, A., Hirschhorn, L. R., Brizuela, J. A. J.,

... & Ratcliffe, H. L. (2021). Strengthening

data collection and use for quality

improvement in primary care: the case of

Costa Rica. Health Policy and Planning, 36(5),

-753.

Spigel L, Pesec M, Villegas del Carpio

O, et al. Implementing sustainable primary

healthcare reforms: strategies from Costa

Rica. BMJ Global Health 2020; 5:e002674.

Rojas, O. N. (2015). Modelo de

Reducción del Daño: Caso Hogar la Esperanza.

PRO VERITATEM, 1(1), 155-166.

Downloads

Published

2024-09-20

How to Cite

Dr. Smartson. P. NYONI, & Thabani NYONI. (2024). ESTIMATING FUTURE TRENDS OF HIV PREVALENCE AMONG INDIVIDUALS AGED 15-49 YEARS IN COSTA RICA USING HOLT’S DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING MODEL. World Bulletin of Public Health, 34, 119-124. Retrieved from https://scholarexpress.net/index.php/wbph/article/view/4576

Issue

Section

Articles

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 > >>